As college essay coaches we’ve noticed two mistaken beliefs among high-achieving students:
TL;DR — Great academics matter. But they’re usually more of a floor that you must achieve than a distinguisher that gets you in. The distinguisher, in fact, is generally "non-academics" – what you write about and how you write about it.
This article will dig into admissions data to look at how selective colleges evaluate applicants’ academics. It’s a follow-up of sorts to our article that sifted through admissions data to find that strong essays increase an applicant’s chance of getting admitted by a whopping 10x.
This is not based on wishful thinking (or, we promise, a love of metaphors and fine language). It’s based on cold, hard math, as we’ll show below.
Colleges typically combine all academic information into a single Academic Score. It helps them identify which students they believe are most likely to succeed academically at their college.
This is a rigorous process: many colleges have refined their academic scoring system over the years based on how accepted students performed academically in college and whether they graduated. Many schools even look at how students from your high school performed academically.
The simple way to look at the Academic Score is as a combination of grades, strength of curriculum, test scores (SAT/ACT, APs), and high school strength. There are two components:
Admissions officers combine the Academic Index (an algorithm) with the Academic Context (qualitative evaluation) to formulate an overall Academic Score. For most students, the Academic Score will closely mirror the score they received on the Academic Index. But for others, the Academic Score may be higher than what it would have been by just considering the Academic Index.
For highly selective colleges, determining if you can hack it is the main purpose of the academic score. Colleges still care if you’re an academic superstar or not. They will use your academic score to understand how strong you are compared to other applicants. But, for most applicants who aren’t truly academically exceptional (e.g., 5s on nearly every AP, perfect SAT/ACT scores, straight A+’s, state or national-level academic awards), how far above the rest you are is generally a secondary consideration.
Most applicants have similar academic profiles. This is because students self-select where they apply based on their grades and test scores. As a good rule of thumb, about 4 in 5 applicants are above the academic bar at highly selective colleges. So these colleges could technically admit about 80% of their applicants and be sure they’d graduate and do well.
Moreover, selective colleges consider about 2 in 5 applicants to have “strong” academics. It’s not easy to do so well in high school that a place like Harvard considers you academically “strong.” It’s not easy … but many, many, many students pull it off. And if they’ve worked hard in high school and gotten great scores to show for it, chances are they’ll apply to a highly selective school when senior year rolls around. That’s called “self-selection.”
As you can see, academics aren’t everything.
While strong academics are helpful, colleges are mostly fine accepting any student that is above their academic bar. Let’s use Harvard as an example (because they had to publicly release their admissions data as part of a court case):
The moral of this story is that it takes something else, on top of excellent grades, to get admitted to a highly selective school. (Spoiler: it’s non-academics, but let’s delve deeper into the academic data before we show you how to use this fact to your advantage.)
This table from the Harvard litigation shows how admitted vs. rejected applicants did on a range of academic metrics. (Note that these numbers don’t include students with special circumstances, such as legacies, athletes, children of faculty, and major donors.)
The chart shows how hard it is to get admitted, with only about 1,500 applicants per year admitted out of a pool of over 32k applicants per year. That is, Harvard rejects over 31k applicants every year.
Now let’s look at how these groups (admitted vs. rejected) did on their APs.
Admitted students:
How did rejected students do? They:
Our brilliant analysis: you need to take a lot of AP tests (we suggest 6!) and get basically all 5s on them for the best chance of getting into Harvard and other highly-selective schools.
Note that APs are one place where the Academic Context piece comes into play. That is, if you could've taken far more than 6 APs at your school by this point, the college will note that you could have taken more. Alternatively, if you took fewer APs because those courses weren't available, colleges will consider that context.
Next, let’s compare these AP results to how applicants scored on Harvard’s academic index. (Again, Harvard’s “academic index” is a calculated input to the final Academic Score. It reflects your GPA (and potentially class rank), SAT scores (if you submit scores), and Top two SAT2 scores (same).
We can also look at the academic index percentiles:
This table shows that having stronger academics — while they tend to help students get admitted — aren’t the end-all-be-all. If Harvard only admitted those at the top of its academic index, then the “admit” number here would be 95%. That’s because 5% is 2,000 accepted of the 40k applicants in this case. But their actual admitted students are only, on average, at 72%. (But keep in mind that average here is the average of a lot of exceptional applicants.)
Assuming you’re reading this article as a junior or senior (or parent of), there’s not a ton you can do about your academic scores. (Though again, whatever you can do academically, do. Academics certainly matter, and the more recent a good score, the more it will help you.)
That being said, there’s a lot you can still do at this point to get yourself into the admits, whether you’re an academic star or merely “pretty great” academically (i.e.,: above the bar):
In either camp, what do you need? No surprise, it’s great essays. Or, to be more technically precise, a great personal score.
We’ve analyzed the Harvard data to show that strong essays can improve your chances of admission by a factor of 10. We highly suggest you read that article, as it shows you how much that’s not in any way an exaggeration, but a stark reveal from the Harvard admissions numbers.
For our purposes here, though, we can summarize it: Essays aren’t about showing off pretty writing skills. They’re your chance to get a high “personal” score as admissions officers evaluate your application.
Your personal score roughly measures your grittiness, uniqueness, contributory tendencies, and/or intellectual curiosity. You could call it your character. We call it your ability to succeed in college and beyond.
The personal score is mostly assessed via essays (as well as the Activity List, interviews, and recommendations).
Most applicants don’t write essays with this view in mind — they think that they should “tell their story,” and let admissions officers get to know them in a friendly way. They’re not selling their character.
That’s why the Harvard data showed that, out of 3 categories (academics, extracurriculars, personal), a high score on “personal” was the rarest in the applicant pool: only 1 in 5 applicants earned a high personal score. However, almost 75% of admitted students had a high personal score.
In a nutshell, earning a high personal score is more important than earning a high academic score. And you can do it with the right essays and the right college essay advisors.